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The future of work

If you can get it, Robots may well take your job — eventually Pioneers are not always welcome. In 1589 William Lee made his way to the English queen, hoping to be granted a patent for his invention, a knitting (编织) machine. Queen Elizabeth I turned him down: “Consider what the invention could do to my poor people,” she commanded. “It would surely bring to them ruin by taking away their employment.”

The fears of Queen have echoed down the centuries. In the 21st century the concerns have switched to robots and artificial intelligence (AD); 30% of American workers believe their jobs are likely to be replaced by robots and computers in their lifetime.

Daniel Susskind has written about this issue before in “The Future of the Professions”, co-authored with his father, Richard. That book focused on the threat by machine-learning to doctors, lawyers and the like.

In the past the relationship between machine and human labour has been driven by two factors: the substituting effect, which caused people to lose jobs, and the complementing (补足) effect, which allowed employees to do their work more productively. The author worries that, in the future, the substituting effect will rule. Advances in AI have been so rapid that machines will eventually be better than people at most activities, he says. A few highly paid humans will still be employed, but the rest will either struggle to find work or fall into the “precariat”, stuck in jobs that are not just poorly paid but unstable and stressful.

Perhaps. It is impossible to be sure whether the latest advances will in the end have mainly good or bad economic effects. Books like his are a useful summary of the current debate on an important subject. But they are not crystal balls.

1.William Lee’s request was turned down for fear that_________.

A.British people couldn’t afford the knitting machine

B.British workers were at the risk of losing their jobs

C.the knitting machine might be ruined by violent workers

D.William Lee would make a huge profit from the patent

2.The fears of Queen in Paragraph 2 refer to the fear that____________.

A.fears can be echoed down for centuries

B.workers are too stressful with the help of machines

C.machines and automation threaten people’s employment

D.doctors, lawyers and the like are likely to be replaced

3.Daniel Susskind worries that___________.

A.most jobs will be at risk because of substituting effect

B.employees will work less productively because of complementing effect

C.30% of American workers will do jobs related to AI

D.large numbers of jobs will be lost because of complementing effect

4.The writer’s attitude to AI advances is     .

A.indifferent B.positive

C.negative D.uncertain

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